Curse

HawkofStorms · Mar 17, 2007, 08:08 PM // 20:08

Quote:

Originally Posted by Aerian_Skybane

I have gotten a 50/50 split abouts. Makes sense.

BTW, where does everyone go to farm these things, i have just been ripping through Kryta areas lol.

I've been troll farming. I figure I might as well make some cash while I'm getting these things.

Former Ruling · Mar 17, 2007, 08:12 PM // 20:12

At first I had like 20 Clovers and like 3 Ales, but they have evened out since.

Mclarenf1905 · Mar 18, 2007, 01:31 AM // 01:31

I have 12 ales and 14 clovers
I've been farming them in shing jey

Yaga Philipe · Mar 18, 2007, 02:11 AM // 02:11

1 ale/1 shamrock

even for me!

anna · Mar 18, 2007, 02:24 AM // 02:24

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lothlorian Sassun

If it is Random Drop % for these items you would think that you would get a Random swing one way or the other in the drops you were getting but as it stands now I have gotten 66 Clovers and 66 Shamrock Ale.

That doesn't really make sense.

"Random" means equal chances for each possibility. With only 2 potential outcomes (ale or clover) for each unique drop instance, there is a 50% probability (i.e., an even chance) for either a clover or an ale.

Of course there will be some deviation, but it's equivalent to a coin flip.

Lothlorian Sassun · Mar 18, 2007, 04:30 AM // 04:30

Yeah i know and sometimes when i flip a coin I will get tails 10 times in a row

111 Shamrock Ales 109 Clovers now... Very Even ... 50/50

anna · Mar 18, 2007, 06:10 AM // 06:10

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lothlorian Sassun

Yeah i know and sometimes when i flip a coin I will get tails 10 times in a row

I'm a little surprised at that. There's less than a 1/1000 chance of that happening. And you've done it more than once? (you said "sometimes"). I've never tried it myself; don't have the patience.

More on point, I've gotten 13 clovers and 16 ales so far. I need more though, because I'm greedy! Something more along the lines of your stash.

Lothlorian Sassun · Mar 18, 2007, 06:43 AM // 06:43

Quote:

Originally Posted by anna

I'm a little surprised at that. There's less than a 1/1000 chance of that happening. And you've done it more than once? (you said "sometimes"). I've never tried it myself; don't have the patience.

More on point, I've gotten 13 clovers and 16 ales so far. I need more though, because I'm greedy! Something more along the lines of your stash.

Oh well. First Thread I have started and I was pretty sure Somebody would flame me or call me a lier or say something about my mother heheh

No big deal. Just thought it was Odd that I was getting almost exact 50/50 drop rate on the weekend items. Perhaps some think this is a silly question seeing as it is quite apparent that the answer is they Have the same Drop %

I just wanted to confirm this is what everyone else was getting and this appears to be the case. Thanks for all the responses everyone.

MYSTERYouse · Mar 18, 2007, 09:11 AM // 09:11

For me its the same, I got 60/62 (Ale,Clovers), so it looks its 1:1 ratio.

raven214 · Mar 18, 2007, 03:47 PM // 15:47

The ratio has since evened out for me.

The Last Anthem · Mar 18, 2007, 04:01 PM // 16:01

3 clover 1 ale...just from doing THK on my mesmer.. too lazy to farm :/

Fenrik de Arvis · Mar 18, 2007, 05:01 PM // 17:01

7 ales - 1 clover

Skawtt · Mar 18, 2007, 05:43 PM // 17:43

102 Ales 111 Shamrocks.....Tho I did get drunk a couple of times.

Zonzai · Mar 18, 2007, 08:13 PM // 20:13

I have more clovers than ales too.

DunedainJedi · Mar 18, 2007, 09:17 PM // 21:17

I've only have four ales, but I traded them to a guildy for clovers.

Parson Brown · Mar 19, 2007, 03:50 AM // 03:50

Slightly more clover than ale, but really close.

Phaern Majes · Mar 19, 2007, 04:18 AM // 04:18

Quote:

Originally Posted by anna

I'm a little surprised at that. There's less than a 1/1000 chance of that happening. And you've done it more than once? (you said "sometimes"). I've never tried it myself; don't have the patience.

More on point, I've gotten 13 clovers and 16 ales so far. I need more though, because I'm greedy! Something more along the lines of your stash.

If you had tried you'd know that you can time the flip of a coin. That way you can always catch it a certain way. Well not always, but with enough practice you can get what you want most of the time.

Anyways my ratio is pretty close to 1:1, though I don't have alot of either.

FlameoutAlchemist · Mar 19, 2007, 04:39 AM // 04:39

about 110 of each. I did some vermin farming, and not only did I make enough money for two sets of 15k armor, I got enough alcohol to enjoy it, and enough clovers to cover me when that pesky rat takes advantage of me.

Cebe · Mar 19, 2007, 09:55 AM // 09:55

69 Green Bits, 85 Ales.

anna · Mar 19, 2007, 03:28 PM // 15:28

Quote:

Originally Posted by Phaern Majes

If you had tried you'd know that you can time the flip of a coin. That way you can always catch it a certain way. Well not always, but with enough practice you can get what you want most of the time.

Anyways my ratio is pretty close to 1:1, though I don't have alot of either.

I'm sorry.

I thought we were talking about fair coin flips. Based on my brief comment on statistics (which I really know nothing about. I was just using common sense), I think it was apparent that that was what I was discussing. Because of that, it makes sense that any direct responses to my posts would be on point--fair coin flips.

The intent of my first post was just to clarify something for the original poster (a clarification which he seemed to ask for). He stated that he didn't understand why he personally wasn't seeing a significant "random" swing one way or the other.

Well, if the drops truly are random (I assume that the OP was correct about that), there is a sensible reason for his drop split--for why some results are expected, and why others are very very difficult to achieve (such as 10 consectuive fair coin flips each resulting in tails).

Anna

EDIT: Final tally - a paltry 13 clovers and 16 ales (unchanged from my last report)